Inter Lagosvs
Nasarawa United
COMPLETEDNigeria · NPFL · 10/18/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nasarawa United · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Inter Lagos 0-0 Nasarawa United, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
Inter Lagos 0-2 Nasarawa United
Original prediction
Nasarawa United
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 00:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.91 | 46.9% | 26.5% | -20.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.05 | 29.4% | 30.2% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 3.77 | 23.7% | 43.3% | 19.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.77 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
19.5 pts
Projected Score
Inter Lagos 0–0 Nasarawa United
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Nasarawa United
Probability
43.3%
Model confidence
43.3%
Nasarawa United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60