Inter Lagosvs
Katsina United
COMPLETEDNigeria · NPFL · 10/4/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Inter Lagos 0-0 Katsina United, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Inter Lagos 1-1 Katsina United
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.96 | 46.5% | 36.1% | -10.4 pts |
| Draw | 2.99 | 30.5% | 31.2% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 3.97 | 23.0% | 32.7% | 9.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.99 · Draw 1.99 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.7 pts
Projected Score
Inter Lagos 0–0 Katsina United
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.2%
Model confidence
36.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Inter LagosLDWLL
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Katsina UnitedDWLWL
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Inter LagosKatsina United
16.7Attack27.8
50.0Defence55.6
22.2Form44.4
33.0Power45.6
0.84xG0.91