Inter Lagosvs
Kano Pillars
COMPLETEDNigeria · NPFL · 9/23/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kano Pillars · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (12%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Inter Lagos 1-1 Kano Pillars
Original prediction
Kano Pillars
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.64 | 35.7% | 29.7% | -6.0 pts |
| Draw | 2.88 | 32.8% | 29.0% | -3.8 pts |
| Away | 2.99 | 31.5% | 41.3% | 9.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.88 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Kano Pillars
Probability
41.3%
Model confidence
41.3%
Kano Pillars has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.50/1.50
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20