GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa Conference League · 10/22/2026, 4:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Inter Club d'Escaldes · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Inter Club d'Escaldes 1-3 Universitatea Craiova

Original prediction

Inter Club d'Escaldes

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 22 September 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 3.50+
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home5.5616.9%38.2%21.3 pts
Draw3.9823.6%26.6%3.1 pts
Away1.5759.6%35.2%-24.3 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

21.3 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.1–011%
  3. 3.2–010%

Predicted outcome

Inter Club d'Escaldes

Probability

38.2%

Model confidence

38.2%

Inter Club d'Escaldes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Inter Club d'EscaldesWLWLW

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Universitatea CraiovaWDWWW

GF 13 · GA 1 · avg 2.60/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Inter Club d'EscaldesUniversitatea Craiova
53.3Attack33.3
73.3Defence66.7
53.3Form33.3
58.9Power45.3
1.63xG0.94
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