GGOALVIO

Argentina · Reserve League · 2/3/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Instituto Res. are 0W-1D-0L in their last 1 (D), averaging 0.00 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Unión Santa Fe Res. are 0W-1D-0L in their last 1 (D), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 2 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Unión Santa Fe Res. hold a 5.3-point power-rating edge (48.5 v 53.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.3% in the Reserve League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

40.3%

Model confidence

40.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Instituto Res.D

GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
Unión Santa Fe Res.D

GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/2.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
Instituto Res.Unión Santa Fe Res.
34.8Attack36.4
62.1Defence69.7
40.9Form50.0
48.5Power53.8
0.67xG0.77
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