GGOALVIO

Argentina · Reserve League · 6/17/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Instituto Res. are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Unión Santa Fe Res. are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Unión Santa Fe Res. hold a 5.3-point power-rating edge (48.5 v 53.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 25.1% in the Reserve League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

40.2%

Model confidence

25.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Instituto Res.DLWWL

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Unión Santa Fe Res.WWLDW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Instituto Res.Unión Santa Fe Res.
34.8Attack36.4
62.1Defence69.7
40.9Form50.0
48.5Power53.8
0.67xG0.77
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