GGOALVIO

Argentina · Reserve League · 2/16/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Rosario Central Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Instituto Res. are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Rosario Central Res. are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Rosario Central Res. hold a 6.2-point power-rating edge (48.5 v 54.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.5% in the Reserve League, while Rosario Central Res. holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Rosario Central Res.

Probability

36.8%

Model confidence

17.5%

Rosario Central Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Instituto Res.DWDDD

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 0/5
Rosario Central Res.WLDWL

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Instituto Res.Rosario Central Res.
34.8Attack47.0
62.1Defence62.1
40.9Form51.5
48.5Power54.7
0.83xG0.99
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