Instituto Res.vs
Racing Club Res.
COMPLETEDArgentina · Reserve League · 9/30/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Instituto Res. 2-2 Racing Club Res.
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 16 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.49 | 36.0% | 34.3% | -1.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.23 | 27.8% | 30.0% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 2.47 | 36.3% | 35.7% | -0.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.23 · Draw 2.23 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.0–111%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
30.0%
Model confidence
35.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80