GGOALVIO

Argentina · Reserve League · 8/12/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Instituto Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Instituto Res. are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Aldosivi Res. are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Instituto Res. hold a 10.3-point power-rating edge (48.6 v 38.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 19.2% in the Reserve League, while Instituto Res. holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Instituto Res.

Probability

49.2%

Model confidence

19.2%

Instituto Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Instituto Res.DDLLD

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Aldosivi Res.LDLDW

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Instituto Res.Aldosivi Res.
34.9Attack28.6
61.9Defence49.2
41.3Form30.2
48.6Power38.3
1.17xG0.58
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