Instituto Cordobavs
San Lorenzo
COMPLETEDArgentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 9/1/2026, 12:15:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Instituto Cordoba 0-0 San Lorenzo, with an exact score probability of 38%.
Prediction record
Final result
Instituto Cordoba 1-0 San Lorenzo
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.89 | 49.9% | 41.1% | -8.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.11 | 30.3% | 38.0% | 7.7 pts |
| Away | 4.73 | 19.9% | 20.9% | 1.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.7 pts
Projected Score
Instituto Cordoba 0–0 San Lorenzo
Exact score probability: 38%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
38.0%
Model confidence
41.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Instituto CordobaDDWWW
GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 0.80/0.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
San LorenzoDWLLW
GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.40/0.60
BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Instituto CordobaSan Lorenzo
33.3Attack24.6
71.2Defence72.5
51.5Form43.5
54.3Power49.5
0.60xG0.39