Institutevs
Newington Youth
COMPLETEDNorthern-Ireland · Championship · 10/3/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Newington Youth · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (8%), 1-3 (8%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Institute 7-0 Newington Youth
Original prediction
Newington Youth
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.47 | 26.2% | 25.1% | -1.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.85 | 23.6% | 21.6% | -1.9 pts |
| Away | 1.81 | 50.3% | 53.3% | 3.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–28%
- 2.1–38%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Newington Youth
Probability
53.3%
Model confidence
53.3%
Newington Youth has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40