GGOALVIO

Northern-Ireland · Championship · 8/19/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Institute · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Institute are 1W-0D-3L in their last 4 (LWLL), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.75 conceded, while Newington Youth are 1W-0D-3L in their last 4 (LWLL), averaging 0.75 scored and 1.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 8 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Institute hold an 11.3-point power-rating edge (59.9 v 48.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.6% in the Championship, while Institute holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Institute

Probability

55.6%

Model confidence

55.6%

Institute has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

InstituteLWLL

GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.50/1.75

BTTS 0/4O2.5 1/4
Newington YouthLWLL

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.75/1.75

BTTS 1/4O2.5 2/4
InstituteNewington Youth
52.6Attack57.0
62.3Defence40.4
60.5Form45.6
59.9Power48.6
2.11xG1.15
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