Institutevs
H&W Welders
COMPLETEDNorthern-Ireland · Championship · 10/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Institute · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 2-1 (7%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Institute 0-0 H&W Welders
Original prediction
Institute
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 19:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.86 | 31.6% | 37.5% | 5.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.77 | 24.0% | 25.5% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 2.04 | 44.4% | 37.0% | -7.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.77 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.2–17%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Institute
Probability
37.5%
Model confidence
37.5%
Institute has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 8 · avg 3.20/1.60
GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60