GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 4/4/2026, 9:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Luverdense · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Inhumas are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Luverdense are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Luverdense hold a 31.4-point power-rating edge (20.2 v 51.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.5% in the Serie D, while Luverdense holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Luverdense

Probability

54.5%

Model confidence

54.5%

Luverdense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

InhumasWDLWW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
LuverdenseLDWDD

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
InhumasLuverdense
10.0Attack33.3
33.3Defence66.7
3.3Form50.0
20.2Power51.5
0.47xG1.34
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