GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Cup · 8/2/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Inhulets · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Inhulets are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 4.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Metalurh Zaporizhya are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (DL), averaging 0.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 7 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Inhulets hold a 21.0-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 32.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.5% in the Cup, while Inhulets holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Inhulets

Probability

42.5%

Model confidence

42.5%

Inhulets has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

InhuletsWWWWW

GF 20 · GA 5 · avg 4.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Metalurh ZaporizhyaDL

GF 0 · GA 2 · avg 0.00/1.00

BTTS 0/2O2.5 0/2
InhuletsMetalurh Zaporizhya
66.7Attack100.0
33.3Defence0.0
50.0Form0.0
53.0Power32.0
1.80xG1.31
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