GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Persha Liga · 9/12/2026, 9:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Inhulets · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Inhulets 2-0 Metal Kharkiv, with an exact score probability of 15%.

Prediction record

Final result

Inhulets 1-0 Metal Kharkiv

Original prediction

Inhulets

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.9945.9%55.4%9.5 pts
Draw3.4026.9%24.4%-2.5 pts
Away3.3527.3%20.2%-7.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.99 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

9.5 pts

Projected Score

Inhulets 2–0 Metal Kharkiv

Exact score probability: 15%

Predicted outcome

Inhulets

Probability

55.4%

Model confidence

55.4%

Inhulets has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

InhuletsDWLLL

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Metal KharkivWWDWL

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
InhuletsMetal Kharkiv
71.4Attack44.4
79.8Defence66.7
79.8Form66.7
76.1Power61.0
1.97xG0.58
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