GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Nord · 7/25/2023, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

ATSV Erlangen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Ingolstadt II are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while ATSV Erlangen are 0W-2D-2L in their last 4 (DLLD), averaging 1.75 scored and 2.25 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 9 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and ATSV Erlangen hold a 14.5-point power-rating edge (34.7 v 49.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.8% in the Oberliga - Bayern Nord, while ATSV Erlangen holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

ATSV Erlangen

Probability

35.8%

Model confidence

35.8%

ATSV Erlangen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ingolstadt IILLLWW

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ATSV ErlangenDLLD

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.75/2.25

BTTS 4/4O2.5 3/4
Ingolstadt IIATSV Erlangen
60.0Attack41.7
13.3Defence52.8
26.7Form48.1
34.7Power49.2
1.63xG1.64
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