Ingenierosvs
Hiska Nacional
COMPLETEDBolivia · Nacional B · 9/14/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hiska Nacional · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (8%), 1-2 (7%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ingenieros 2-2 Hiska Nacional
Original prediction
Hiska Nacional
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 18:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.65 | 34.0% | 35.7% | 1.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.91 | 23.0% | 23.4% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.10 | 43.0% | 40.9% | -2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.91 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–28%
- 2.1–27%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Hiska Nacional
Probability
40.9%
Model confidence
40.9%
Hiska Nacional has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 14 · avg 1.40/2.80
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80