İnegölsporvs
Karacabey Belediyespor
COMPLETEDTurkey · 2. Lig · 9/20/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
İnegölspor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
İnegölspor 0-1 Karacabey Belediyespor
Original prediction
İnegölspor
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.82 | 49.7% | 40.0% | -9.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.53 | 25.7% | 27.3% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 3.68 | 24.6% | 32.8% | 8.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
İnegölspor
Probability
40.0%
Model confidence
40.0%
İnegölspor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40