İnegölsporvs
Fethiyespor
COMPLETEDTurkey · 2. Lig · 10/11/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
İnegölspor · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (9%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
İnegölspor 2-1 Fethiyespor
Original prediction
İnegölspor
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 03:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.43 | 37.0% | 36.2% | -0.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.13 | 28.7% | 29.6% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 2.62 | 34.3% | 34.2% | -0.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.43 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–09%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
İnegölspor
Probability
36.2%
Model confidence
36.2%
İnegölspor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00