Indy Elevenvs
Tampa Bay Rowdies
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 10/10/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tampa Bay Rowdies · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Indy Eleven 0-1 Tampa Bay Rowdies, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Indy Eleven 1-3 Tampa Bay Rowdies
Original prediction
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 13:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.43 | 26.6% | 25.6% | -1.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.55 | 25.7% | 27.9% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 1.92 | 47.7% | 46.5% | -1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.92 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.2 pts
Projected Score
Indy Eleven 0–1 Tampa Bay Rowdies
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Probability
46.5%
Model confidence
46.5%
Tampa Bay Rowdies has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00