GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 5/30/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Rhode Island · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Indy Eleven are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Rhode Island are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Rhode Island hold a 6.0-point power-rating edge (49.1 v 55.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.0% in the USL Championship, while Rhode Island holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Rhode Island

Probability

39.0%

Model confidence

39.0%

Rhode Island has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Indy ElevenWDWLL

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Rhode IslandWLDLD

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Indy ElevenRhode Island
39.2Attack52.9
58.8Defence62.7
43.1Form49.0
49.1Power55.0
0.92xG1.21
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