Indy Elevenvs
Oakland Roots
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 9/20/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Indy Eleven · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Indy Eleven 0-1 Oakland Roots
Original prediction
Indy Eleven
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.89 | 48.3% | 51.9% | 3.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.63 | 25.2% | 24.6% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 3.44 | 26.5% | 23.5% | -3.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Indy Eleven
Probability
51.9%
Model confidence
51.9%
Indy Eleven has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40