Indy Elevenvs
Miami FC
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 9/26/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Indy Eleven · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Indy Eleven 0-2 Miami FC
Original prediction
Indy Eleven
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.68 | 54.1% | 49.8% | -4.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.98 | 22.8% | 25.9% | 3.1 pts |
| Away | 3.93 | 23.1% | 24.3% | 1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
Indy Eleven
Probability
49.8%
Model confidence
49.8%
Indy Eleven has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20