Indy Elevenvs
Louisville City
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 8/22/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Louisville City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Indy Eleven 2-1 Louisville City
Original prediction
Louisville City
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Louisville City
Probability
38.6%
Model confidence
38.6%
Louisville City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Indy ElevenWDLLL
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Louisville CityWDDLW
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Indy ElevenLouisville City
38.9Attack60.0
61.1Defence43.3
46.3Form51.7
50.9Power53.6
1.40xG1.29