Indy Elevenvs
Louisville City
SCHEDULEDUSA · USL Championship · 8/22/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Indy Eleven · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Indy Eleven are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Louisville City are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and louisville City hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (49.2 v 52.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the USL Championship, favouring Indy Eleven with 13.4% confidence, a 57% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Indy Eleven
Probability
37.7%
Model confidence
13.4%
Indy Eleven has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80
GF 12 · GA 12 · avg 2.40/2.40