USL ChampionshipUSL Championship
Saturday, 25 July 2026Last updated 10:11
Indy Eleven

Indy Eleven

Home
LW
01
Full time
Loudoun United

Loudoun United

Away
D
Michael A. Carroll Stadium
GoalVio prediction
42% confidence
Indy Eleven(42%)
Most likely exact score2-0
Win probability
Indy Eleven
42%
Draw
26%
Loudoun United
32%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Indy Eleven
34
Loudoun United
73
Defence
Indy Eleven
66
Loudoun United
27
Momentum
Indy Eleven
50
Loudoun United
33
Danger (xG)
Indy Eleven
0.90
Loudoun United
1.80
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Indy Eleven)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Loudoun United)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Indy Eleven)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Loudoun United)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Indy ElevenIndy Eleven
LW
Loudoun UnitedLoudoun United
D

Probability breakdown

42% confidence
Indy Eleven42%
Draw26%
Loudoun United32%

Indy Eleven leads with 42% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Indy Eleven head into this in USL Championship fixture at Michael A. Carroll Stadium in mixed form (LW), while Loudoun United arrive in mixed form (D). Indy Eleven have a 50% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 0% for Loudoun United over 1 games.

The model rates Indy Eleven's attack at 34/100 against a 27/100 Loudoun United defence, and Loudoun United's attack at 73/100 against a 66/100 Indy Eleven backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Indy Eleven have won all 1 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per game at home. Loudoun United have limited away data in the engine at this stage.

There is no head-to-head data between Indy Eleven and Loudoun United in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Indy Eleven to win with 42% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-0. Win probabilities: Indy Eleven 4204%, Draw 2597%, Loudoun United 3199%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Indy Eleven

Indy Eleven

L
@ Miami FC
16 Jul 2026
02
W
vs Charleston Battery
4 Jul 2026
20
Loudoun United

Loudoun United

D
vs Sporting JAX
4 Jul 2026
22

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Indy Eleven vs Loudoun United?

GoalVio's model predicts Indy Eleven to win with 42% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Indy Eleven vs Loudoun United?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-0.

Will both teams score in Indy Eleven vs Loudoun United?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Indy Eleven vs Loudoun United?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more