Indy ElevenvsForward Madison

Indy Eleven are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Forward Madison are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Indy Eleven hold a 12.5-point power-rating edge (36.2 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Indy Eleven holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.