GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 3/21/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Detroit City · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Indy Eleven are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Detroit City are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Detroit City hold a 10.1-point power-rating edge (49.1 v 59.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.8% in the USL Championship, while Detroit City holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Detroit City

Probability

39.8%

Model confidence

39.8%

Detroit City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Indy ElevenLDWDL

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Detroit CityWWDLD

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Indy ElevenDetroit City
39.2Attack48.1
58.8Defence68.5
43.1Form57.4
49.1Power59.2
0.77xG1.12
View match centre →