GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 2/13/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chicago Fire · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Lowconfidence

Indy Eleven are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Chicago Fire are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Chicago Fire hold a 34.6-point power-rating edge (36.2 v 70.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.2% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Chicago Fire holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chicago Fire

Probability

69.2%

Model confidence

9.2%

Chicago Fire has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Indy ElevenLDLWL

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Chicago FireDWDWL

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Indy ElevenChicago Fire
55.6Attack85.7
22.2Defence71.4
33.3Form66.7
36.2Power70.7
1.18xG2.85
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