Indy Elevenvs
Brooklyn
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 9/15/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Indy Eleven · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (13%), 1-1 (12%), 2-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Indy Eleven 4-0 Brooklyn
Original prediction
Indy Eleven
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.60 | 56.8% | 57.9% | 1.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.12 | 22.1% | 23.0% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 4.31 | 21.1% | 19.1% | -2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.60 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–013%
- 2.1–112%
- 3.2–012%
Predicted outcome
Indy Eleven
Probability
57.9%
Model confidence
57.9%
Indy Eleven has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40