Indonesiavs
Philippines
COMPLETEDWorld · ASEAN Championship · 12/21/2024, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Indonesia · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Indonesia are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (LDW), averaging 1.33 scored and 1.33 conceded, while Philippines are 0W-3D-0L in their last 3 (DDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 6 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Philippines hold an 8.4-point power-rating edge (44.6 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.1% in the ASEAN Championship, while Indonesia holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Indonesia
Probability
34.1%
Model confidence
34.1%
Indonesia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 1.33/1.33
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/1.00