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Indjija logoIndjijavsDubočica logoDubočica

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Serbia · Prva Liga · 8/12/2023, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Indjija are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Dubočica are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Indjija hold a 5.0-point power-rating edge (55.7 v 50.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.8% in the Prva Liga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

43.8%

Model confidence

43.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

IndjijaLWWLL

GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
DubočicaLWWWD

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
IndjijaDubočica
41.4Attack30.6
68.5Defence66.7
53.2Form46.3
55.7Power50.7
0.90xG0.52
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