Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
India · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (13%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
India 1-1 Panama
Original prediction
India
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 15:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 8.43 | 10.9% | 37.9% | 27.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.78 | 19.3% | 25.5% | 6.2 pts |
| Away | 1.32 | 69.7% | 36.6% | -33.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.78 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
27.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
India
Probability
37.9%
Model confidence
37.9%
India has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
IndiaDLLLW
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
PanamaDWLWD
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20
BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
IndiaPanama
47.6Attack50.0
81.0Defence50.0
76.2Form58.3
69.9Power55.9
1.57xG0.85