IndependênciavsAraguaína

Independência are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Araguaína are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 3.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Araguaína hold an 11.2-point power-rating edge (52.8 v 64.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.6% in the Serie D, while Araguaína holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.