Independientevs
Velez Sarsfield
COMPLETEDArgentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 1/31/2026, 10:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Independiente are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Velez Sarsfield are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Velez Sarsfield hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (52.7 v 61.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 23.1% in the Liga Profesional Argentina, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
38.6%
Model confidence
23.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00