GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 8/21/2025, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Independiente · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Independiente are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Universidad de Chile are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente hold a 36.8-point power-rating edge (60.4 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.6% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Independiente holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Independiente

Probability

66.6%

Model confidence

66.6%

Independiente has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

IndependienteLLDLL

GF 1 · GA 6 · avg 0.20/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Universidad de ChileLWWLW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
IndependienteUniversidad de Chile
70.8Attack33.3
66.7Defence33.3
54.2Form0.0
60.4Power23.7
2.19xG0.75
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