GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/28/2025, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Independiente · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Independiente are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Nacional Potosí are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente hold an 18.0-point power-rating edge (60.4 v 42.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 71.7% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Independiente holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Independiente

Probability

71.7%

Model confidence

71.7%

Independiente has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

IndependienteDWWWW

GF 8 · GA 1 · avg 1.60/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Nacional PotosíDWWDL

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
IndependienteNacional Potosí
70.8Attack38.1
66.7Defence38.1
54.2Form47.6
60.4Power42.5
2.48xG0.74
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