Independientevs
Instituto Cordoba
COMPLETEDArgentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 10/2/2026, 10:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Independiente 0-0 Instituto Cordoba, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Independiente 1-4 Instituto Cordoba
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.45 | 38.1% | 35.8% | -2.4 pts |
| Draw | 2.93 | 31.8% | 31.8% | 0.0 pts |
| Away | 3.11 | 30.0% | 32.4% | 2.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.0 pts
Projected Score
Independiente 0–0 Instituto Cordoba
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.8%
Model confidence
35.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20