Independientevs
Estudiantes L.P.
COMPLETEDArgentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 1/23/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Independiente are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Estudiantes L.P. are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Estudiantes L.P. hold a 4.1-point power-rating edge (52.7 v 56.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.2% in the Liga Profesional Argentina, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
45.2%
Model confidence
45.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 1 · avg 1.60/0.20
GF 8 · GA 1 · avg 1.60/0.20