Independientevs
Club Guarani
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/15/2025, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Independiente · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Independiente are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Club Guarani are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente hold a 3.6-point power-rating edge (60.4 v 56.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.4% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Independiente holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Independiente
Probability
49.4%
Model confidence
49.4%
Independiente has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20