GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/15/2025, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Independiente · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Independiente are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Club Guarani are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente hold a 3.6-point power-rating edge (60.4 v 56.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.4% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Independiente holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Independiente

Probability

49.4%

Model confidence

49.4%

Independiente has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

IndependienteWWLLD

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Club GuaraniDWWDW

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
IndependienteClub Guarani
70.8Attack48.1
66.7Defence63.0
54.2Form55.6
60.4Power56.9
1.60xG0.92
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