GGOALVIO

Argentina · Copa Argentina · 3/26/2023, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Independiente · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Independiente are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DDDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Ciudad de Bolívar are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (DW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 7 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente hold a 32.3-point power-rating edge (56.0 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.5% in the Copa Argentina, while Independiente holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Independiente

Probability

42.5%

Model confidence

42.5%

Independiente has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

IndependienteDDDDL

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Ciudad de BolívarDW

GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 2/2O2.5 1/2
IndependienteCiudad de Bolívar
66.7Attack0.0
33.3Defence66.7
66.7Form0.0
56.0Power23.7
1.60xG1.09
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