GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/8/2025, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Independiente · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Independiente are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Boston River are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente hold a 23.6-point power-rating edge (60.4 v 36.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 73.8% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Independiente holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Independiente

Probability

73.8%

Model confidence

73.8%

Independiente has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

IndependienteDLWWD

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Boston RiverLDLWL

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
IndependienteBoston River
70.8Attack28.6
66.7Defence42.9
54.2Form28.6
60.4Power36.8
2.40xG0.60
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