Independientevs
Boca Juniors
COMPLETEDArgentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 10/25/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Boca Juniors · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Independiente 0-0 Boca Juniors, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Independiente 0-1 Boca Juniors
Original prediction
Boca Juniors
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 October 2026 at 05:19 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.76 | 24.9% | 24.7% | -0.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.06 | 30.6% | 29.0% | -1.6 pts |
| Away | 2.11 | 44.5% | 46.3% | 1.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.11 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.8 pts
Projected Score
Independiente 0–0 Boca Juniors
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Boca Juniors
Probability
46.3%
Model confidence
46.3%
Boca Juniors has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00