GGOALVIO

Argentina · Copa Argentina · 3/27/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Independiente · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Independiente are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Atenas are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente hold a 32.3-point power-rating edge (56.0 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.5% in the Copa Argentina, while Independiente holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Independiente

Probability

43.5%

Model confidence

43.5%

Independiente has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

IndependienteLLDWD

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
AtenasWLLWW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
IndependienteAtenas
66.7Attack66.7
33.3Defence0.0
66.7Form0.0
56.0Power23.7
1.75xG1.19
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