GGOALVIO

Argentina · Reserve League · 4/14/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lanús Res. · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Independiente Riva. Res. are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Lanús Res. are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Lanús Res. hold a 12.4-point power-rating edge (47.6 v 60.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.0% in the Reserve League, while Lanús Res. holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lanús Res.

Probability

41.0%

Model confidence

41.0%

Lanús Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Independiente Riva. Res.LLDWD

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Lanús Res.WLWWW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Independiente Riva. Res.Lanús Res.
40.9Attack65.2
56.1Defence56.5
40.9Form60.9
47.6Power60.0
1.10xG1.63
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