Independiente Riva. Res.vs
Gimnasia Mendoza 2
COMPLETEDArgentina · Reserve League · 9/24/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Independiente Riva. Res. 0-0 Gimnasia Mendoza 2, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Independiente Riva. Res. 0-1 Gimnasia Mendoza 2
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.40 | 37.1% | 34.8% | -2.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.03 | 29.5% | 31.3% | 1.9 pts |
| Away | 2.67 | 33.5% | 33.9% | 0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.9 pts
Projected Score
Independiente Riva. Res. 0–0 Gimnasia Mendoza 2
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.3%
Model confidence
34.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80