Argentina · Reserve League · 3/31/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Defensa y Justicia Res. · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Independiente Riva. Res. are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Defensa y Justicia Res. are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Defensa y Justicia Res. hold a 7.4-point power-rating edge (47.6 v 55.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.7% in the Reserve League, while Defensa y Justicia Res. holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Defensa y Justicia Res.
Probability
38.7%
Model confidence
38.7%
Defensa y Justicia Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40