GGOALVIO

Argentina · Reserve League · 5/13/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Independiente Riva. Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Independiente Riva. Res. are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Colón Res. are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente Riva. Res. hold a 7.3-point power-rating edge (47.6 v 40.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.9% in the Reserve League, while Independiente Riva. Res. holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Independiente Riva. Res.

Probability

47.7%

Model confidence

17.9%

Independiente Riva. Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Independiente Riva. Res.LLWDL

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Colón Res.LDLLL

GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Independiente Riva. Res.Colón Res.
40.9Attack27.3
56.1Defence56.1
40.9Form30.3
47.6Power40.3
1.18xG0.64
View match centre →