GGOALVIO

Argentina · Reserve League · 2/17/2026, 10:10:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Boca Juniors Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Independiente Riva. Res. are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Boca Juniors Res. are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Boca Juniors Res. hold a 20.9-point power-rating edge (47.6 v 68.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.2% in the Reserve League, while Boca Juniors Res. holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Boca Juniors Res.

Probability

46.2%

Model confidence

46.2%

Boca Juniors Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Independiente Riva. Res.LWDWL

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Boca Juniors Res.WDWDW

GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Independiente Riva. Res.Boca Juniors Res.
40.9Attack58.3
56.1Defence83.3
40.9Form66.7
47.6Power68.5
0.61xG1.49
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