GGOALVIO

Argentina · Reserve League · 4/21/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Independiente Res. · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Independiente Res. are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Racing Club Res. are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente Res. hold a 12.2-point power-rating edge (69.4 v 57.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.7% in the Reserve League, while Independiente Res. holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Independiente Res.

Probability

50.7%

Model confidence

50.7%

Independiente Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Independiente Res.WWDDL

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Racing Club Res.DLWWD

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Independiente Res.Racing Club Res.
76.8Attack49.3
69.6Defence58.7
69.6Form56.0
69.4Power57.3
2.02xG0.79
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